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Bad Forecast Issue 06: What a Near Miss Costs

Sep 16, 2026

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3 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 06: What a Near Miss Costs

Two hurricanes came at Hawaii and neither one landed. One of them STILL cost a single county nearly $50 million. And might cost double that.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 05: The Safety Net Went Broke

Aug 26, 2026

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3 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 05: The Safety Net Went Broke

$81.8 million locked in for disaster prevention since January 2025. $740,185 actually paid out.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 04: Spokane, Then and Now

Aug 5, 2026

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4 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 04: Spokane, Then and Now

710 structures and $166 million in 2023. Five days into this one, the count is still a range.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
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