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Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 09: Coming Ashore

Oct 30, 2026

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4 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 09: Coming Ashore

Isaias hit at 105 mph. The costs are still coming ashore. Plus the strongest El Niño in NOAA's records with impacts today in the coffee, the canal and the corn.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 08: The Gap

Oct 15, 2026

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4 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 08: The Gap

23 billion-dollar disasters in 2025. Property insurers' best year ever. And the largest home insurers closed 44% of their claims paying nothing.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 07: The Receipts Are In

Oct 8, 2026

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3 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 07: The Receipts Are In

One week in March. Three wind disasters, about a dozen states, not one name between them. The bill is $8 billion.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 06: What a Near Miss Costs

Sep 16, 2026

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3 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 06: What a Near Miss Costs

Two hurricanes came at Hawaii and neither one landed. One of them STILL cost a single county nearly $50 million. And might cost double that.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 05: The Safety Net Went Broke

Aug 26, 2026

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3 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 05: The Safety Net Went Broke

$81.8 million locked in for disaster prevention since January 2025. $740,185 actually paid out.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Issue 04: Spokane, Then and Now

Aug 5, 2026

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4 min read

Bad Forecast Issue 04: Spokane, Then and Now

710 structures and $166 million in 2023. Five days into this one, the count is still a range.

Bad Forecast Team
Bad Forecast Team
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